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ATO Data Analysis – Why the Decrease in Giving 2015-16?

The tax year 2015-16 saw a decrease in tax deductible gifts of $221 million (or 7.2%) from the previous income year. However, the previous year had a spike in giving of $464 million (or 15%) over its previous year. The spike was largely due to the income wealthy, with those having a taxable income over $1 million claiming  an average tax-deductible donations of $98,324.68 (up from $51,978.72 in previous year). This year the average fell back to a little below the 5 year trend line at $50, 128.01.

So it was the taxpayers in the upper bracket which largely caused the decrease, but why?

I am not sure, further research is needed. There are a number of possibilities that previous research has indicated as factors.

We know that those in the top tax brackets tend to tighten their giving in uncertain financial times. The 2015-16 financial year was difficult for investors with:

  • a close and messy federal election,
  • a bear market in most share markets,
  • record low bond yields,
  • financial issues in Greece,
  • a 49% plunge for a period in Chinese shares,
  • numerous IS related terrorist attacks;
  • a “surprise” vote by the UK to Leave the European Union setting off  fears that there will be a domino effect of countries seeking to leave the Eurozone: and
  • the election of Donald Trump.

Also there were no ATO declared Australian natural disasters for the period and that might have some bearing.

 

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